Rosbalt, 10/03/2004, 13:03

How Strong Is Putin's New 'Hand'?

Elena Panova, Rosbalt, Saint Petersburg

 

The unexpected designation of Mikhail Fradkov as head of the Russian government has now been completed with the expected announcement of his cabinet. Figures close to Mikhail Kasyanov-Boris Alyoshin, Mikhail Shvydkoi and others-appear to have been considered too 'unprofessional' to handle the tasks confronting the new government. Its tasks are hardly easy-to cut the bureaucracy painfully and to raise living standards.

Immediately after the resignation of former Prime Minister Kasyanov, President Vladimir Putin announced that the government was no longer to be a shadow in the background but would become an effective, modern instrument of administration. The new 'cogs' in the administrative machine have now been announced-Aleksandr Zhukov, Dmitry Kozak, Rashid Nurgaliyev, Sergey Lavrov, Yury Trutnev, Mikhail Zurabov, Aleksandr Sokolov, Andrey Fursenko and Igor Levitin. Who are these old new people?

Aleksandr Zhukov, the sole deputy prime minister, is a specialist in the field of currency, tax and customs law. Fradkov himself earlier headed the Federal Tax Police Service, and the Tax and Collections Ministry has again become the Federal Tax Service.

The naming of Dmitry Kozak, a presidential protйgй, to head the bureaucracy (apparat) in essence confirms this as a cabinet with a largely technical mission. Igor Bunin, the political analyst, believes that Kozak, formerly first deputy chief of the bureaucracy, will act as the president's man in the government since that post is normally designated by the prime minister. Thus, the role of the bureaucracy may grow rather than be reduced, as has been assumed, especially against the background of a rather colorless prime minister. It was Kozak, it may be noted, who devised the new cabinet structure.

The appointment of Rashid Nurgaliyev, long the acting minister, as minister of internal affairs, signals the complete, unconditional victory of the new team and defeat of the 'family.' Until his actual appointment, analysts had rated Nurgaliyev as trailing the other candidates for the job. But the experts now see the Nurgaliyev appointment as a compromise that suits most of the interested parties. The whole 'power' bloc is thus in the hands of the new people.

The new foreign minister, Sergey Lavrov, has been Russia's permanent representative to the United Nations (appointed to the UN job by President Boris Yeltsin on July 7, 1994). In recent months, he has been particularly vigorous on matters pertaining to Iraq. His appointment may be a way of saying to the United States that Russia now looks to handle key international questions through the UN.

The new cabinet also features a regional leader-Yury Trutnev, who has not quite completed a first term as governor of Perm Region. He heads the Natural Resources Ministry. His sole credential justifying the appointment is, it would appear at first glance, his training (he is a 1978 graduate of the Mining Faculty of Perm's Polytechnical Institute as a mining engineer). Trutnev appears to share the ideas of Sergey Kiriyenko, the president's representative to the Volga District.

Mikhail Zurabov, the former head of the Russian Pension Fund, is the sole member of the cabinet with a 'family' background. At first glance, this is a promotion for him-he heads a ministry that will combine two old ministries, health and labor. On the other hand, he loses control of the financial flows of the Pension Fund and finds himself facing the extremely tricky problems of veterans and physicians. In introducing the new government, Fradkov announced that Zurab's deputy for his labor and social development responsibilities would be the former deputy prime minister Galina Karelova and for health questions Vladimir Starodubov, who has been director of a Health Ministry department.

The head of the combined Culture and Information Ministry is Aleksandr Sokolov, rector of the Moscow Conservatory. He will have two deputies, whom Fradkov promised would be known to everyone. Sokolov himself does not cut much of a figure in political circles. He faces in his job, aside from cultural questions as such, the matter of working with the media, one of the thorniest of current questions. Sokolov is replacing Mikhail Shvydkoi and the somewhat tarnished Mikhail Lesin. Sokolov himself became rector of the conservatory after the removal of Mikhail Ovchinnikov for financial violations. Who Sokolov's deputies will be is now a major topic of discussion. Both Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn and Vasily Aksyonov have been mentioned as possible choices.

Andrey Fursenko, a longtime Petersburg acquaintance of President Putin, has been named head of the Ministry of Industry and Science. Since 2001, he has been chairman of the academic council of the Center for Strategic Research 'North-West' and head of the 'Institute for the Development of an Innovative Economy' project. In view of the fact that officials at all levels have been talking about the importance of innovation, the Fursenko appointment looks very sound.

Igor Levitin's designation as transportation minister is further evidence that a new team has replaced the old oligarchs in Russia. Severstal looks like playing first violin in the new orchestra. Its representatives have long 'cultivated' the Petersburg team.

With all this, the most vivid figures of the former government remain in place, throwing doubt on the commonly bruited notion of the 'technical character' of the new cabinet. Specifically, remaining in the government are Sergey Ivanov (defense), Igor Ivanov (who goes from foreign minister to secretary of the National Security Council), German Gref (economics and trade), Aleksey Kudrin (finance), Sergey Shoigu (emergency situations), Yury Chaika (justice), Viktor Khristenko (industry and energy) and Aleksandr Gordeyev (agriculture).

Thus, if Vladimir Putin is re-elected, formation of a new cabinet becomes a mere formality.

 

Translated by Howard Goldfinger

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